Selected outcome
Palmer Luckey
wide spread 2–71%
12%
Palmer Luckey · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Larry Page
Will Larry Page announce they're leaving California?
33%
Open · ~$126 24h · ~$1,490 vol
wide spread 32–78%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 78¢
- Jensen Huang
Will Jensen Huang announce they're leaving California?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 6.1¢
- Chamath Palihapitiya
Will Chamath Palihapitiya announce they're leaving California?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$231 vol
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Marc Andreessen
Will Marc Andreessen announce they're leaving California?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$382 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 7.8¢
- Mark Zuckerberg
Will Mark Zuckerberg announce they're leaving California?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,314 vol
wide spread 33–56%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 56¢
- Palmer Luckey
Will Palmer Luckey announce they're leaving California?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 2–71%
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 71¢
- Peter Thiel
Will Peter Thiel announce they're leaving California?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,688 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 59¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Palmer Luckey announces they're moving away from California before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.