Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
wide spread 3–99%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Jan 1, 2027?
22%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 27¢
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Apr 1, 2027?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 3–99%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 99¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Jul 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–99%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 99¢
- Before Sep 1, 2027
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Sep 1, 2027?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 3–99%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 99¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Jan 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–99%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 99¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Dec 1, 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement before Nov 1, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Canada and the United States have concluded a final trade agreement after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.