Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
8%
Before Jan 1, 2028 · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jun 30, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Mark Carney (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2028?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 12¢
- Before Jul 1, 2028
Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2028?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 16¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2029?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 32¢
- Before Jul 1, 2029
Will Mark Carney announce their departure as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$199 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 46¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jun 30, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.