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California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

Open

On Nov 3, 2026

Selected outcome

No, ≥4%

46%

No, ≥4% · 46%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • No, ≥4%

    Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4%?

    46%

    Open · ~$420 24h · ~$2,073 vol

    Bid 42¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • No, ≥10%

    Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 10%?

    25%

    Open · ~$120 24h · ~$266 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 29¢

    Open full market view →
  • No, ≥7%

    Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 7%?

    32%

    Open · ~$56 24h · ~$645 vol

    Bid 29¢ · Ask 35¢

    Open full market view →
  • No, ≥19%

    Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 19%?

    16%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • No, ≥1%

    Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 1%?

    66%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,848 vol

    Bid 62¢ · Ask 69¢

    Open full market view →
  • No, ≥13%

    Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 13%?

    24%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 29¢

    Open full market view →
  • No, ≥16%

    Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 16%?

    19%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 24¢

    Open full market view →
  • No, ≥22%

    Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 22%?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$468 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$597
Volume
~$8,555
Liquidity
—
Open int.
14k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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