Selected outcome
No, ≥4%
46%
No, ≥4% · 46%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- No, ≥4%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4%?
46%
Open · ~$420 24h · ~$2,073 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 50¢
- No, ≥10%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 10%?
25%
Open · ~$120 24h · ~$266 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 29¢
- No, ≥7%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 7%?
32%
Open · ~$56 24h · ~$645 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 35¢
- No, ≥19%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 19%?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 20¢
- No, ≥1%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 1%?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,848 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 69¢
- No, ≥13%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 13%?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 29¢
- No, ≥16%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 16%?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 24¢
- No, ≥22%
Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 22%?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$468 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.