Selected outcome
Yes, ≥4%
13%
Yes, ≥4% · 13%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Yes, ≥1%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 1%?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,931 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 28¢
- Yes, ≥10%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 10%?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Yes, ≥13%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 13%?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$121 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Yes, ≥16%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 16%?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$163 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Yes, ≥19%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 19%?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Yes, ≥22%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 22%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$144 vol
Ask 5¢
- Yes, ≥4%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 4%?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$105 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 17¢
- Yes, ≥7%
Will the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election be at least 7%?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$144 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the margin of victory for Yes in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.