Selected outcome
Hike more than 25bps
wide spread 2–35%
16%
Hike more than 25bps · 16%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 19, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- South African Reserve Bank (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Hike more than 25bps
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
16%
Open · ~$72 24h · ~$142 vol
wide spread 2–35%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 35¢
- Hike 1-25bps
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
7%
Open · ~$14 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 1–23%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 23¢
- Cut 1-25bps
Will the South African Reserve Bank cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
last
Ask 7¢
- Cut more than 25bps
Will the South African Reserve Bank cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Maintain current rate
Will the South African Reserve Bank maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
wide spread 26–87%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 87¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 19, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.