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Will China abolish birth limits?

Open

People's Republic of China

Selected outcome

Before 2027

6%

Before 2027 · 6%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
the government of the People's Republic of China (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before 2027

    Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2027?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before 2028

    Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2028?

    26%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before 2029

    Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2029?

    40%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$283 vol

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before 2030

    Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2030?

    56%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,285 vol

    Bid 52¢ · Ask 60¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$1,666
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,107 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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