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Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Open

Before July 2028

Selected outcome

Yes

21%

Yes · 21%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jul 1, 2028 ET
Resolution source
BLS (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Yes

    Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

    21%

    Open · ~$36 24h · ~$5.7M vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$36
Volume
~$5.7M
Liquidity
—
Open int.
164k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jul 1, 2028 ET
Resolution source
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

View on Kalshi