Selected outcome
Yes
21%
Yes · 21%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jul 1, 2028 ET
- Resolution source
- BLS (opens in a new tab)
Price
Yes
Loading price history.
Markets
- Yes
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
21%
Open · ~$36 24h · ~$5.7M vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jul 1, 2028 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If at least 3 of: unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS) S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50% CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.