Selected outcome
Before Nov 1, 2026
4%
Before Nov 1, 2026 · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Anthropic (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Dec 1, 2026?
14%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 18¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$427 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
- Before Nov 16, 2026
Will Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 16, 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.