Closest Senate race in 2026?

Openone winner

Before Jan 3, 2027

Selected outcome

Iowa

14%

Iowa · 14%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 2, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official state or local election division websites (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Kansas
Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
13%
Open · ~$628 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
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Iowa
Will Iowa have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
14%
Open · ~$489 24h · ~$8,447 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
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Alaska
Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
8%
Open · ~$285 24h · ~$6,750 vol
Bid 7.1¢ · Ask 8¢
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Texas
Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
14%
Open · ~$123 24h · ~$14k vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
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Michigan
Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
8%
Open · ~$110 24h · ~$6,838 vol
Bid 7.6¢ · Ask 8.6¢
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Ohio
Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
8%
Open · ~$36 24h · ~$5,376 vol
Bid 7.4¢ · Ask 7.8¢
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Montana
Will Montana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
2%
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$1,017 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Maine
Will Maine have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
9%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$6,055 vol
Bid 9.3¢ · Ask 9.5¢
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Florida
Will Florida have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
3%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$1,478 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
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Georgia
Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$370 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.6¢
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South Carolina
Will South Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
5%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$2,366 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
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Arkansas
Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$107 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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North Carolina
Will North Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$365 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 0.8¢
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Minnesota
Will Minnesota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
3%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$1,636 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 3.3¢
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Mississippi
Will Mississippi have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$637 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
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Louisiana
Will Louisiana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$197 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Idaho
Will Idaho have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$308 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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South Dakota
Will South Dakota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$347 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Nebraska
Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,857 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 7.1¢
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New Hampshire
Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$950 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 2.1¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$1,752
Volume: ~$72k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 753k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Jan 2, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official state or local election division websites (opens in a new tab)

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Elections

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