Selected outcome
Texas
14%
Texas · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 2, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Kansas
Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
13%
Open · ~$628 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
- Iowa
Will Iowa have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
14%
Open · ~$489 24h · ~$8,447 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
- Alaska
Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
8%
Open · ~$285 24h · ~$6,750 vol
Bid 7.1¢ · Ask 8¢
- Texas
Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
14%
Open · ~$123 24h · ~$14k vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
- Michigan
Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
8%
Open · ~$110 24h · ~$6,838 vol
Bid 7.6¢ · Ask 8.6¢
- Ohio
Will Ohio have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
8%
Open · ~$36 24h · ~$5,376 vol
Bid 7.4¢ · Ask 7.8¢
- Montana
Will Montana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
2%
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$1,017 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Maine
Will Maine have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
9%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$6,055 vol
Bid 9.3¢ · Ask 9.5¢
- Florida
Will Florida have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
3%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$1,478 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Georgia
Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$370 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.6¢
- South Carolina
Will South Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
5%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$2,366 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
- Arkansas
Will Arkansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$107 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- North Carolina
Will North Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$365 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 0.8¢
- Minnesota
Will Minnesota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
3%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$1,636 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 3.3¢
- Mississippi
Will Mississippi have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$637 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Louisiana
Will Louisiana have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$197 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- Idaho
Will Idaho have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$308 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- South Dakota
Will South Dakota have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$347 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- Nebraska
Will Nebraska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,857 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 7.1¢
- New Hampshire
Will New Hampshire have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$950 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 2.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 2, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Texas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.