Selected outcome
Below $240 billion
4%
Below $240 billion · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- FRED (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Below $220 billion
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $220 billion?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Below $240 billion
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $240 billion?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Below $260 billion
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$152 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 27¢
- Below $280 billion
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280 billion?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$568 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 57¢
- Below $300 billion
Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$661 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 76¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $240 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.