Selected outcome
Before Mar 1, 2027
47%
Before Mar 1, 2027 · 47%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
- Before May 1, 2027
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027?
67%
Open · ~$3,671 24h · ~$73k vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 67¢
- Before 2028
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?
78%
Open · ~$2,529 24h · ~$34k vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 79¢
- Before Feb 1, 2027
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?
39%
Open · ~$2,005 24h · ~$16k vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 39¢
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Apr 1, 2027?
51%
Open · ~$1,272 24h · ~$44k vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 52¢
- Before Mar 1, 2027
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?
47%
Open · ~$941 24h · ~$26k vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 47¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2027?
20%
Open · ~$564 24h · ~$20k vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026?
12%
Open · ~$62 24h · ~$8,023 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 14¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$2,301 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.