Selected outcome
Above 3.4%
5%
Above 3.4% · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 13, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 2.6%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in December 2026?
88%
Open · ~$80 24h · ~$14k vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 91¢
- Above 3.4%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in December 2026?
5%
Open · ~$40 24h · ~$316 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
- Above 3.5%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in December 2026?
2%
Open · ~$24 24h · ~$59 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 3.1%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in December 2026?
16%
Open · ~$14 24h · ~$3,028 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 16¢
- Above 3.3%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in December 2026?
5%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$735 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
- Above 2.1%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in December 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,720 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 2.2%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.2% for the year ending in December 2026?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,242 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 2.3%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in December 2026?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,446 vol
Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 2.4%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in December 2026?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,469 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 2.5%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in December 2026?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19k vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 2.7%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in December 2026?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 80¢
- Above 2.8%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in December 2026?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,713 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 2.9%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in December 2026?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,099 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 49¢
- Above 3.0%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in December 2026?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,591 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
- Above 3.2%
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in December 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,121 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 13, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.