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Core CPI YoY in November

Open

Nov 2026

Selected outcome

Above 3.4%

3%

Above 3.4% · 3%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 10, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Above 2.4%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in November 2026?

    97%

    Open · ~$314 24h · ~$11k vol

    Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.5%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in November 2026?

    95%

    Open · ~$261 24h · ~$11k vol

    Bid 94¢ · Ask 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.9%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in November 2026?

    36%

    Open · ~$10 24h · ~$19k vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 39¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.4%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in November 2026?

    3%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$481 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.0%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.0% for the year ending in November 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13k vol

    Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.1%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in November 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,399 vol

    Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.2%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.2% for the year ending in November 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10k vol

    Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.3%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.3% for the year ending in November 2026?

    98%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9,579 vol

    Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.6%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in November 2026?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15k vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 91¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.7%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in November 2026?

    79%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8,715 vol

    Bid 78¢ · Ask 79¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.8%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in November 2026?

    59%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,834 vol

    Bid 58¢ · Ask 59¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.0%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?

    22%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,163 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.1%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in November 2026?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,351 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.2%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in November 2026?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$448 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.3%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in November 2026?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$449 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in November 2026?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$585
Volume
~$111k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
89k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 10, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

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