Selected outcome
Above 4.4%
17%
Above 4.4% · 17%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 13, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 3.1%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in December 2026?
96%
Open · ~$1,874 24h · ~$7,661 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 96¢
- Above 3.4%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.4% for the year ending in December 2026?
89%
Open · ~$910 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 3.0%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in December 2026?
96%
Open · ~$855 24h · ~$3,622 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 96¢
- Above 3.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in December 2026?
83%
Open · ~$739 24h · ~$7,821 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 83¢
- Above 3.3%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in December 2026?
95%
Open · ~$546 24h · ~$7,205 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 4.9%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.9% for the year ending in December 2026?
4%
Open · ~$361 24h · ~$1,278 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢
- Above 4.2%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in December 2026?
34%
Open · ~$264 24h · ~$1,918 vol
wide spread 18–34%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 34¢
- Above 4.0%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in December 2026?
35%
Open · ~$137 24h · ~$5,627 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 37¢
- Above 4.4%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in December 2026?
17%
Open · ~$81 24h · ~$3,208 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢
- Above 5.0%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 5.0% for the year ending in December 2026?
2%
Open · ~$54 24h · ~$152 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 4.7%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.7% for the year ending in December 2026?
6%
Open · ~$48 24h · ~$745 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
- Above 4.8%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.8% for the year ending in December 2026?
6%
Open · ~$35 24h · ~$836 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
- Above 4.6%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.6% for the year ending in December 2026?
10%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$711 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢
- Above 3.9%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in December 2026?
41%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$26k vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Above 4.3%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in December 2026?
19%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$2,127 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
- Above 4.5%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in December 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,254 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 11¢
- Above 4.1%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in December 2026?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,026 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 29¢
- Above 3.2%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in December 2026?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9,952 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 96¢
- Above 3.6%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in December 2026?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,265 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 82¢
- Above 3.7%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.7% for the year ending in December 2026?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,972 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 66¢
- Above 3.8%
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in December 2026?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44k vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 60¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 13, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 4.4% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.