Selected outcome
Above 4.75%
last
1%
Above 4.75% · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Bank of New York (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 3.75%
Will SOFR be above 3.75 by end of Q4 2026?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8,181 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 4.00%
Will SOFR be above 4.00 by end of Q4 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,784 vol
wide spread 70–99%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 4.25%
Will SOFR be above 4.25 by end of Q4 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,480 vol
wide spread 2–42%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 42¢
- Above 4.50%
Will SOFR be above 4.50 by end of Q4 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$101 vol
wide spread 1–15%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.