Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

Openone winner

Before Nov 1, 2028

Selected outcome

Josh Shapiro

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Oct 31, 2028 ET
Resolution source: The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Andy Beshear
Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$508 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
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Amy Klobuchar
Will Amy Klobuchar be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Ask 2¢
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Andrew Yang
Will Andrew Yang be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Ask 2¢
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Beto O'Rourke
Will Beto O'Rourke be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
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Cory Booker
Will Cory Booker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
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Chris Murphy
Will Chris Murphy be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
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Elissa Slotkin
Will Elissa Slotkin be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
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Elizabeth Warren
Will Elizabeth Warren be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
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Gavin Newsom
Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$753 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 11¢
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Graham Platner
Will Graham Platner be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
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Gina Raimondo
Will Gina Raimondo be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
last
Ask 1¢
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Gretchen Whitmer
Will Gretchen Whitmer be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
last
Ask 2¢
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Jasmine Crockett
Will Jasmine Crockett be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
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Jon Ossoff
Will Jon Ossoff be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Jared Polis
Will Jared Polis be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
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J.B. Pritzker
Will J.B. Pritzker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$152 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Josh Shapiro
Will Josh Shapiro be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$133 vol
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Jon Stewart
Will Jon Stewart be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
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James Talarico
Will James Talarico be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Kamala Harris
Will Kamala Harris be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$820 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 12¢
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Mark Cuban
Will Mark Cuban be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
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Mark Kelly
Will Mark Kelly be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
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Mitch Landrieu
Will Mitch Landrieu be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
last
Ask 4¢
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Michelle Obama
Will Michelle Obama be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
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Pete Buttigieg
Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$689 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 15¢
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Roy Cooper
Will Roy Cooper be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
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Rahm Emanuel
Will Rahm Emanuel be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,000 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 34¢
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Ruben Gallego
Will Ruben Gallego be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
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Ro Khanna
Will Ro Khanna be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$332 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 16¢
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Raphael Warnock
Will Raphael Warnock be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Ask 2¢
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Stephen A. Smith
Will Stephen A. Smith be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
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Wes Moore
Will Wes Moore be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$127 vol
Ask 2¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$4,722
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 45k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Oct 31, 2028 ET
Resolution source: The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If Josh Shapiro is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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