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How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

Open

By 2028

Selected outcome

Below 7.25

39%

Below 7.25 · 39%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
May 17, 2029 ET
Resolution source
The Economist (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Below 7.00

    Will the US fall below 7.00 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

    34%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,845 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 36¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 7.25

    Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

    39%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,195 vol

    Bid 37¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 7.50

    Will the US fall below 7.50 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

    66%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8,298 vol

    Bid 63¢ · Ask 68¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 7.60

    Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

    85%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16k vol

    Bid 82¢ · Ask 88¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$30k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
16k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
May 17, 2029 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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