Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

Open

On Nov 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Nevada Assembly

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)

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Markets

California Assembly
Will the number of California State Assembly seats held by Democrats be at least 54 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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California Senate
Will the number of California State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 27 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Colorado House
Will the number of Colorado House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 44 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
54%
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Colorado Senate
Will the number of Colorado Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 24 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Connecticut House
Will the number of Connecticut House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 101 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Connecticut Senate
Will the number of Connecticut State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 24 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Delaware House
Will the number of Delaware House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 25 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Delaware Senate
Will the number of Delaware Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 13 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Hawaii Senate
Will the number of Hawaii State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 17 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Illinois House
Will the number of Illinois House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 71 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Illinois Senate
Will the number of Illinois Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 36 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Maryland Senate
Will the number of Maryland Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 29 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Maine Senate
Will the number of Maine Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 24 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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New Mexico House
Will the number of New Mexico House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 47 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Nevada Assembly
Will the number of Nevada Assembly seats held by Democrats be at least 28 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Nevada Senate
Will the number of Nevada Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 14 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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New York Assembly
Will the number of New York State Assembly seats held by Democrats be at least 100 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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New York Senate
Will the number of New York State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 42 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Oregon House
Will the number of Oregon House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 40 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Oregon Senate
Will the number of Oregon State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Vermont House
Will the number of Vermont House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 100 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Vermont Senate
Will the number of Vermont Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Washington House
Will the number of Washington House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 66 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Washington Senate
Will the number of Washington State Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 33 after the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$114
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 211 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: California Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If the number of Nevada Assembly seats held by Democrats is at least 28 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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