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Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?

Open

On Nov 6, 2026

Selected outcome

Above 4%

78%

Above 4% · 78%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 6, 2026 ET
Resolution source
CNN (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Above 11%

    Will Democrats receive above 11% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 10%

    Will Democrats receive above 10% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    19%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2%

    Will Democrats receive above 2% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    92%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 87¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3%

    Will Democrats receive above 3% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    85%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 90¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4%

    Will Democrats receive above 4% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    78%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 83¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5%

    Will Democrats receive above 5% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    70%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    Bid 65¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6%

    Will Democrats receive above 6% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    62%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    Bid 57¢ · Ask 67¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7%

    Will Democrats receive above 7% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    55%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    Bid 50¢ · Ask 60¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8%

    Will Democrats receive above 8% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    47%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol

    Bid 42¢ · Ask 52¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9%

    Will Democrats receive above 9% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    32%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 27¢ · Ask 37¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$107
Liquidity
—
Open int.
220 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 6, 2026 ET
Resolution source
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic share of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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