Selected outcome
Above 4.1%
23%
Above 4.1% · 23%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 9, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 4.1%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
23%
Open · ~$60 24h · ~$444 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 26¢
- Above 3.5%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 95¢
- Above 3.6%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- Above 3.7%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- Above 3.8%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- Above 3.9%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$248 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 4.0%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$344 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 85¢
- Above 4.2%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 13¢
- Above 4.3%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Above 4.4%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢
- Above 4.5%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢
- Above 4.6%
What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 9, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 4.1% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.