Selected outcome
Slack / disinflation
1%
Slack / disinflation · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 13, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- FRED CPIAUCSL (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Overheating
State of the economy at the end of 2026?
72%
Open · ~$18k 24h · ~$59k vol
Bid 69.9¢ · Ask 73.8¢
- Soft landing
State of the economy at the end of 2026?
25%
Open · ~$880 24h · ~$8,750 vol
Bid 24.5¢ · Ask 24.6¢
- Slack / disinflation
State of the economy at the end of 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 13, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.