Selected outcome
Above 8%
wide spread 11–75%
69%
Above 8% · 69%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 29, 8:29 AM ET
- Resolution source
- FRED (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 9%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 9%?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$335 vol
wide spread 2–18%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Above 10%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 10%?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$280 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 13¢
- Above 11%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 11%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$131 vol
Ask 6¢
- Above 12%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 12%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Ask 6¢
- Above 13%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 13%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- Above 3%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$267 vol
wide spread 78–98%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 4%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 4%?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$358 vol
wide spread 77–98%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 5%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 5%?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
wide spread 77–98%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 6%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 6%?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$165 vol
wide spread 76–98%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 7%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 7%?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,470 vol
last
Bid 75¢
- Above 8%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 8%?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,713 vol
wide spread 11–75%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 29, 8:29 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.