Selected outcome
Above 420 million barrels
No
Above 420 million barrels · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 10:29 AM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Energy Information Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 413 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 413 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$710 24h · ~$2,104 vol
- Above 410 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 410 million barrels?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$190 24h · ~$882 vol
- Above 422 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 422 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$103 24h · ~$125 vol
- Above 411 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 411 million barrels?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$67 24h · ~$170 vol
- Above 412 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 412 million barrels?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$35 24h · ~$801 vol
- Above 416 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 416 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$24 24h · ~$170 vol
- Above 420 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 420 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$5 24h · ~$5 vol
- Above 421 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 421 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$1 24h · ~$78 vol
- Above 415 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 415 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
- Above 414 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 414 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$133 vol
- Above 417 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 417 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$185 vol
- Above 418 million barrels
Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 418 million barrels?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 10:29 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 420 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.