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Will Trump declare an election emergency?

Open

Executive action timing

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

32%

Before Jan 1, 2027 · 32%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Federal Register (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027?

    32%

    Open · ~$961 24h · ~$5,175 vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Nov 4, 2026

    Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?

    9%

    Open · ~$503 24h · ~$27k vol

    Bid 7.8¢ · Ask 9.9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$1,465
Volume
~$32k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
136k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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