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Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

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In 2026

Selected outcome

3 cuts

1%

3 cuts · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Federal Reserve (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 0 cuts

    Will the Fed cut rates 0 times at emergency meetings?

    97%

    Open · ~$257 24h · ~$281k vol

    Bid 96.2¢ · Ask 97.8¢

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  • 3 cuts

    Will the Fed cut rates 3 times at emergency meetings?

    1%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$322 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.1¢

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  • 2 cuts

    Will the Fed cut rates 2 times at emergency meetings?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$173 vol

    Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.7¢

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  • 1 cut

    Will the Fed cut rates 1 time at emergency meetings?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$245 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2.2¢

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  • 4 cuts

    Will the Fed cut rates 4 times at emergency meetings?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.7¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$258
Volume
~$282k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
259k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 3 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.

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