Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?

Open

a supervolcano

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2050

wide spread 27–38%

Before Jan 1, 2050

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2049 ET
Resolution source: New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

Before Jan 1, 2050

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Markets

Before Jan 1, 2050
When will a supervolcano next erupt?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9,203 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$9,203
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 11k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2049 ET
Resolution source: New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Weather