Selected outcome
Above 3.50%
99%
Above 3.50% · 99%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 9, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
99%
Open · ~$481 24h · ~$36k vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
82%
Open · ~$439 24h · ~$46k vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$89 24h · ~$60k vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
14%
Open · ~$70 24h · ~$7,806 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
5%
Open · ~$20 24h · ~$10k vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21k vol
last
Bid 98¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,879 vol
last
Bid 98¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14k vol
last
Bid 97¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
Ask 1¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
last
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 9, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.