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Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?

Open

On Mar 17, 2027

Selected outcome

Above 4.00%

wide spread 75–98%

92%

Above 4.00% · 92%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Mar 17, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Above 4.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 4–89%

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 89¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    wide spread 1–80%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    25%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,399 vol

    wide spread 1–50%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–40%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    21%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    wide spread 1–35%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 35¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol

    wide spread 1–56%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 56¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–32%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 32¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    93%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$728 vol

    last

    Bid 93¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$863 vol

    last

    Bid 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$673 vol

    Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,240 vol

    Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,214 vol

    Bid 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,577 vol

    Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$815 vol

    Bid 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,284 vol

    Bid 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,325 vol

    last

    Bid 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,991 vol

    Bid 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,233 vol

    wide spread 88–99%

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    93%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,650 vol

    last

    Bid 87¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,669 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 96¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,815 vol

    wide spread 80–97%

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,198 vol

    Bid 43¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,895 vol

    wide spread 77–98%

    Bid 77¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    92%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,638 vol

    wide spread 75–98%

    Bid 75¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,006 vol

    wide spread 68–82%

    Bid 68¢ · Ask 82¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$43k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
29k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Mar 17, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Mar 17, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

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