Selected outcome
More than 100,000
11%
More than 100,000 · 11%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Mar 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- FRED (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- More than 100,000
Will there be more than 100000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,038 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 14¢
- More than 150,000
Will there be more than 150000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$764 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 11¢
- More than 200,000
Will there be more than 200000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- More than 250,000
Will there be more than 250000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$207 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢
- More than 300,000
Will there be more than 300000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢
- More than 350,000
Will there be more than 350000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Mar 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.