Selected outcome
Above 4.75%
35%
Above 4.75% · 35%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.50%?
55%
Open · ~$78 24h · ~$9,744 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 56¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.25%?
69%
Open · ~$53 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 68¢ · Ask 70¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?
No quote
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$199 vol
wide spread 17–40%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 40¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.75%?
35%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$758 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 39¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.75%?
82%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$20k vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 83¢
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.00%?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$600 vol
last
Bid 95¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.25%?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,511 vol
last
Bid 97¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.50%?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$188 vol
last
Bid 70¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.75%?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.00%?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$217 vol
last
Bid 90¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.25%?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$834 vol
last
Bid 70¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.50%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,002 vol
wide spread 84–99%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.75%?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,013 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 91¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.00%?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,831 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 94¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.25%?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14k vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.50%?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,767 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.00%?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16k vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 83¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$139 vol
wide spread 9–32%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 32¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$75 vol
wide spread 11–24%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 24¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 15¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$167 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.