Selected outcome
Above 2.00%
wide spread 54–99%
76%
Above 2.00% · 76%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2028 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.00%?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$536 vol
last
Bid 63¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.25%?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$445 vol
last
Bid 61¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.50%?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$111 vol
wide spread 81–96%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 96¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 1.75%?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
last
Bid 58¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.00%?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$67 vol
wide spread 54–99%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.25%?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$53 vol
wide spread 49–99%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.50%?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
wide spread 48–98%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 2.75%?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$92 vol
wide spread 38–81%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 81¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.00%?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–80%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 80¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.25%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–80%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 80¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.50%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$311 vol
wide spread 20–70%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 70¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 3.75%?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 19–68%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 68¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.00%?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
wide spread 16–66%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 66¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.25%?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
wide spread 10–60%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 60¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.50%?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$109 vol
wide spread 8–54%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 54¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 4.75%?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
wide spread 4–54%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 54¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.00%?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
wide spread 4–53%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 53¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.25%?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 2–32%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 32¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.50%?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$47 vol
wide spread 2–52%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 52¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 5.75%?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
last
Ask 36¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028 be above 6.00%?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
last
Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2028 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 2.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.