Selected outcome
Above 5.00%
wide spread 9–33%
32%
Above 5.00% · 32%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.25%?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$391 vol
wide spread 54–97%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.50%?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol
wide spread 54–88%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.75%?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 50–92%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 92¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.00%?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$69 vol
wide spread 44–93%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.25%?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$92 vol
wide spread 38–88%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.50%?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 39–88%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.75%?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$161 vol
wide spread 37–87%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 87¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.00%?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$93 vol
wide spread 37–87%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 87¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.25%?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 29–79%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 79¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.50%?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 25–74%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 74¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 3.75%?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 23–73%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 73¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.00%?
42%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$125 vol
wide spread 13–63%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 63¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.25%?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
wide spread 13–62%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 62¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.50%?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 10–59%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 59¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 4.75%?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 9–59%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 59¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.00%?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 9–33%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 33¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.25%?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
wide spread 8–57%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 57¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.50%?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol
last
Ask 46¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 5.75%?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
wide spread 3–44%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 44¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 6.00%?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$74 vol
wide spread 3–42%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 42¢
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 1.00%?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$543 vol
wide spread 60–97%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 97¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.