Selected outcome
Above 1.25%
wide spread 67–88%
75%
Above 1.25% · 75%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2030 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.00%?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 72–98%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.25%?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$471 vol
wide spread 67–88%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.50%?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$382 vol
Bid 87¢ · Ask 92¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 1.75%?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$196 vol
wide spread 46–91%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 91¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.00%?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol
wide spread 43–93%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.25%?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$83 vol
wide spread 44–93%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.50%?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$355 vol
wide spread 43–93%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 2.75%?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$69 vol
wide spread 61–92%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 92¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.00%?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$265 vol
wide spread 43–93%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.25%?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 31–56%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 56¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.50%?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 22–72%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 72¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 3.75%?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 21–71%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 71¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.00%?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 31–71%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 71¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.25%?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–69%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 69¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.50%?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 12–62%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 62¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 4.75%?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 13–38%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 38¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.00%?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol
wide spread 8–55%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 55¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.25%?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 3–52%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 52¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.50%?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
wide spread 16–51%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 51¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 5.75%?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 3–27%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 27¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030 be above 6.00%?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 3–27%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 27¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2030 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.