Selected outcome
Above 3.50%
wide spread 24–51%
Above 3.50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2031 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.00%?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$308 vol
wide spread 80–95%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.25%?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$194 vol
wide spread 71–94%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 94¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.50%?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 40–90%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 1.75%?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$132 vol
wide spread 42–90%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.00%?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 64–90%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.25%?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$248 vol
wide spread 36–86%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 86¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.50%?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$165 vol
wide spread 55–80%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 80¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 2.75%?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 31–81%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 81¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.00%?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
wide spread 32–81%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 81¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.25%?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$53 vol
wide spread 25–63%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 63¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.50%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol
wide spread 24–51%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 51¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 3.75%?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$107 vol
wide spread 21–50%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 50¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.00%?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$167 vol
wide spread 20–52%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 52¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.25%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 20–46%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 46¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.50%?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 14–63%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 63¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 4.75%?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
wide spread 13–62%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 62¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.00%?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$287 vol
wide spread 11–60%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 60¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.25%?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
wide spread 9–59%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 59¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.50%?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$84 vol
wide spread 3–48%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 48¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 5.75%?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 3–25%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 25¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031 be above 6.00%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2031 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2031, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.