Selected outcome
Above 1.50%
wide spread 67–92%
71%
Above 1.50% · 71%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2032 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.00%?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 44–94%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 94¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.25%?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
wide spread 66–93%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.50%?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 67–92%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 92¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.75%?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$197 vol
wide spread 44–93%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.00%?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol
wide spread 39–88%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.25%?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol
wide spread 38–72%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 72¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.50%?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 38–88%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 2.75%?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 35–84%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 84¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.00%?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 43–83%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 83¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.25%?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$41 vol
wide spread 28–78%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 78¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.50%?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 19–69%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 69¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 3.75%?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 15–54%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 54¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.00%?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
wide spread 15–65%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 65¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.25%?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 10–60%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 60¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.50%?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 37¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 4.75%?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$84 vol
wide spread 10–48%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 48¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.00%?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 7–57%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 57¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.25%?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 3–53%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 53¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.50%?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 3–52%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 52¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 5.75%?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
last
Ask 40¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 6.00%?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
last
Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2032 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.