Selected outcome
Above 5.25%
wide spread 7–35%
29%
Above 5.25% · 29%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2033 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.00%?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$600 vol
wide spread 45–94%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 94¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.25%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$804 vol
wide spread 76–88%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.50%?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$125 vol
wide spread 42–90%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.75%?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$164 vol
wide spread 43–84%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 84¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.00%?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$136 vol
wide spread 41–90%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.25%?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$97 vol
wide spread 40–89%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 89¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.50%?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
wide spread 39–89%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 89¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.75%?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 30–80%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 80¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.00%?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
wide spread 31–80%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 80¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.25%?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 30–78%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 78¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.50%?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
wide spread 15–65%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 65¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 3.75%?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
wide spread 16–65%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 65¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.00%?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 15–64%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.25%?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$106 vol
wide spread 11–59%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 59¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.50%?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 9–59%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 59¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 4.75%?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 7–56%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 56¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.00%?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
wide spread 5–55%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 55¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.25%?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$49 vol
wide spread 7–35%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 35¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.50%?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 4–51%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 51¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 5.75%?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$79 vol
wide spread 25–44%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 44¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 6.00%?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 1–24%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 24¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2033 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 5.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.