Selected outcome
Above 4.50%
wide spread 9–59%
41%
Above 4.50% · 41%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2034 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$181 vol
wide spread 45–89%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 89¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.25%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$369 vol
wide spread 64–86%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 86¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.50%?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$77 vol
wide spread 41–89%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 89¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.75%?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$157 vol
wide spread 60–79%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 79¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.00%?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 34–83%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 83¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.25%?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 36–70%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 70¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.50%?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
wide spread 34–83%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 83¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 2.75%?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
wide spread 28–54%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 54¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.00%?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 23–73%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 73¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.25%?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 28–67%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 67¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.50%?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 18–68%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 68¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 3.75%?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 18–68%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 68¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.00%?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 12–62%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 62¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.25%?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 12–62%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 62¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.50%?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
wide spread 9–59%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 59¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 4.75%?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 7–57%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 57¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.00%?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
wide spread 6–55%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 55¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.25%?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$41 vol
wide spread 6–56%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 56¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.50%?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
last
Ask 49¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 5.75%?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
last
Ask 49¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 6.00%?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
last
Ask 21¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2034 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.