Selected outcome
Above 5.75%
wide spread 16–49%
Above 5.75%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2035 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.00%?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$49 vol
wide spread 45–95%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.25%?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 46–95%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.50%?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$111 vol
wide spread 42–91%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 91¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.75%?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$198 vol
wide spread 42–90%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.00%?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$101 vol
wide spread 43–87%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 87¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.25%?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$139 vol
wide spread 58–89%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 89¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.50%?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
wide spread 39–88%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 2.75%?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
wide spread 40–88%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.00%?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 39–88%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 88¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.25%?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–84%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 84¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.50%?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–78%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 78¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 3.75%?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–77%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 77¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.00%?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 24–74%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 74¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.25%?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
wide spread 20–70%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 70¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.50%?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$85 vol
wide spread 25–70%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 70¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 4.75%?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 15–65%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 65¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.00%?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
wide spread 15–64%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.25%?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 14–64%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.50%?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–61%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 61¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 5.75%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$317 vol
wide spread 16–49%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 49¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 6.00%?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
last
Ask 48¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2035 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 5.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.