Selected outcome
Above 5.00%
wide spread 15–60%
53%
Above 5.00% · 53%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2036 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.00%?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 46–95%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.25%?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$89 vol
wide spread 44–93%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 93¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.50%?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 42–92%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 92¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.75%?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$180 vol
wide spread 42–92%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 92¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.00%?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
wide spread 42–92%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 92¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.25%?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$91 vol
wide spread 35–85%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 85¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.50%?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 35–85%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 85¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.75%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
wide spread 28–50%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 50¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.00%?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
wide spread 26–76%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 76¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.25%?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–76%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 76¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.50%?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 26–75%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 75¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.75%?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 25–51%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 51¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.00%?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
wide spread 23–73%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 73¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.25%?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol
wide spread 16–50%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 50¢
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.50%?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$69 vol
wide spread 16–64%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.75%?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
wide spread 15–64%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.00%?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol
wide spread 15–60%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 60¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.25%?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 15–65%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 65¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.50%?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 9–55%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 55¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 5.75%?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
wide spread 26–52%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 52¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 6.00%?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$79 vol
last
Ask 35¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2036 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.