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Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Open

Before Jan 1, 2027

Selected outcome

Dot Plot Omitted

12%

Dot Plot Omitted · 12%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Dot Plot Omitted

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections before Jan 1, 2027?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,077 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Presser Skipped

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting before Jan 1, 2027?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,875 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Reserve President Rejected

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president before Jan 1, 2027?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$931 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • Reserve President Removed

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors removes a Federal Reserve Bank president from office before Jan 1, 2027?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Trimmed Mean Emphasized

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures before Jan 1, 2027?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$389 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$4,278
Liquidity
—
Open int.
16k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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