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Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Open

Before Jan 1, 2027

Selected outcome

Presser Skipped

9%

Presser Skipped · 9%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Dot Plot Omitted

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections before Jan 1, 2027?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,077 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Presser Skipped

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting before Jan 1, 2027?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,875 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Reserve President Rejected

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president before Jan 1, 2027?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$931 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • Reserve President Removed

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors removes a Federal Reserve Bank president from office before Jan 1, 2027?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Trimmed Mean Emphasized

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures before Jan 1, 2027?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$389 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$4,278
Liquidity
—
Open int.
16k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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