Selected outcome
Above $1600
3%
Above $1600 · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- USDA (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above $1300
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$233 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
- Above $1400
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- Above $1500
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- Above $1600
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Above $1000
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,678 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
- Above $1100
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,297 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
- Above $1200
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$362 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1600 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.