Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
44%
Before Jan 1, 2028 · 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Fox News (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Aug 1, 2027
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Aug 1, 2027?
31%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$3,016 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 31¢
- Before Nov 3, 2026
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Nov 3, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$205 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,121 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2028?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,685 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 45¢
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party before Apr 1, 2027?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,080 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.