Selected outcome
At least 2.2 million
12%
At least 2.2 million · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 4, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- University of Florida Election Lab (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 1.4 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
91%
Open · ~$904 24h · ~$1,357 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 1.6 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
83%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 86¢
- At least 2.6 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 2.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$151 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 1.9 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.9 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 32¢
- At least 2.1 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 2.1 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$109 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 1.8 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$528 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 49¢
- At least 2 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 2.2 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 2.4 million
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 2.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 4, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab is at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.