Selected outcome
Downgrade before 2027?
77%
Downgrade before 2027? · 77%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Semafor (opens in a new tab)
Price
Downgrade before 2027?
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Markets
- Downgrade before 2027?
Will a Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch downgrade of France’s credit rating be confirmed before 2027?
77%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$300 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If a downgrade by Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch, of France’s long-term foreign-currency sovereign issuer rating is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.