Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
24%
Before Jan 1, 2027 · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Bloomberg News (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will France declare a state of emergency before Nov 1, 2026?
12%
Open · ~$791 24h · ~$2,059 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will France declare a state of emergency before Jan 1, 2027?
24%
Open · ~$412 24h · ~$2,617 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 24¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the French government declares a state of emergency (état d'urgence) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.